In a previous post, I mentioned two background reports written by IBI Group for the Ministry of Transportation. These can be found on the GTTA’s What’s New page.
If you’re pressed for time, read the Stratgic Transit Directions report as its companion, Needs and Opportunities, duplicates a lot of the material. At the risk of seeming to cherry-pick sections that support positions I have advocated here, I will give a few excerpts and observations.
Travel demand in the GTAH (Greater Toronto plus Hamilton) is projected to increase substantially over the period 2001-2031 (2001 is the base year because the transportation survey data for 2006 was not available when these studies were written). Even with massive investment in transit, the overall modal split for transit will stay much lower than needed to avoid massive traffic congestion, especially in the 905. This is not to say that transit is a bad investment, but the problem is so great that the aggressive proposals included here won’t keep up with growth in travel demand. Continue reading