Now that shovels are poised to start digging north into York Region, we need to take a hard look at just who this line is going to serve. The information is this post is taken from:
The TTC’s own Environmental Assessment report of the line to Steeles at this link, and
The York Region Environmental Assessment report on its plans for Highway 7 and the Vaughan North-South Link at this link.
First we have the TTC study which assumes the line will end at Steeles Avenue. In Appendix M, starting at page 13 in the PDF (page 22 of the source document), we have the travel forecasts, and the summary appears on page 15 (25).
Assuming that the land use assumptions are met, the extension is expected to carry about 17,000 AM peak passengers southbound into Downsview Station. No peak hour figure is given, but typically about half of the 3-hour peak load travels in the peak hour. This translates to about 8,500 in the peak hour.
Northbound AM peak travel to York University is estimated at 5,500. This gives us about 2,750 northbound riders to York University in the morning peak hour. Continue reading